Asura.Saevel said: »
No one has ever, seriously at least, questioned CO2's effect as a greenhouse gas
AGW Theory - Discussion |
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AGW Theory - Discussion
Asura.Saevel said: » No one has ever, seriously at least, questioned CO2's effect as a greenhouse gas Valefor.Sehachan said: » Asura.Saevel said: » No one has ever, seriously at least, questioned CO2's effect as a greenhouse gas I don't question it, I understand the relatively limited effect it has on atmospheric temperature. Case in point is a direct comparison of mars and venus. Both have effectively the same percentage of CO2 and yet one is hotter than the other. Obviously one can deduce that the reason Venus is so much hotter than mars is due to something other than the CO2 composition in it's atmosphere. Clearly CO2 is far beyond the point of saturation in heating up both planets. Ragnarok.Nausi said: » Valefor.Sehachan said: » I spoke not about pride. Nor did I dismiss the models could be wrong, ever. On the other side the certainty with which certain people are adamant that this is a worldwide scam is pure insanity. CO2 is a greenhouse gas. Period. Now, are the models correct? Are we reaching a critical point in 2030? 50? 70? I don't know, and I will give you that it's pure speculation that has to be constantly revisited considering the multitude of factors at play. Meanwhile, regardless of all that the only thing I have a firm stance on is that we have to stop using oil(progressively, not in one day). Stacking CO2 is like stacking double attack. At some point adding an extra percent is virtually meaningless in terms of DOT. Quite the opposite. As people like you love to point out when they want to support their case, the planet does have ways of counteracting increases in CO2. However, once you reach a certain threshold, some of those systems (such as the ocean) become saturated and you're kind of screwed. In the case of the ocean, there are also things that live in there that can be affected by even minor changes in pH that result from absorbing more acid. Ragnarok.Nausi said: » Valefor.Sehachan said: » Asura.Saevel said: » No one has ever, seriously at least, questioned CO2's effect as a greenhouse gas I don't question it, I understand it's relatively limited affect it has on atmospheric temperature. Case in point is a direct comparison of mars and venus. Both have effectively the same percentage of CO2 and yet one is hotter than the other. Obviously one can deduce that the reason Venus is so much hotter than mars is due to something other than the CO2 composition in it's atmosphere. Give up on the Mars/Venus thing. They're not even comparable. Yes, the pressure on Venus contributes to its temperature, but ignoring the amount of CO2 in its atmosphere (not just concentration) is stupid. This theory works for all the years except the past 18ish when there has not been any atmospheric warming but co2 has been pumping out like crazy?
Ragnarok.Nausi said: » This theory works for all the years except the past 18ish when there has not been any atmospheric warming but co2 has been pumping out like crazy? Cerberus.Pleebo said: » Give up on the Mars/Venus thing. They're not even comparable. Yes, the pressure on Venus contributes to its temperature, but ignoring the amount of CO2 in its atmosphere (not just concentration) is stupid. I'm not ignoring the CO2, it plays it's small role, clearly mars is proof positive you need a bit more than CO2 to raise temperature. Ragnarok.Nausi said: » Cerberus.Pleebo said: » Give up on the Mars/Venus thing. They're not even comparable. Yes, the pressure on Venus contributes to its temperature, but ignoring the amount of CO2 in its atmosphere (not just concentration) is stupid. I'm not ignoring the CO2, it plays it's small role, clearly mars is proof positive you need a bit more than CO2 to raise temperature. Yeah, you need an atmosphere... Good news everyone! We actually have an atmosphere here on Earth!
Jassik said: » Ragnarok.Nausi said: » Cerberus.Pleebo said: » Give up on the Mars/Venus thing. They're not even comparable. Yes, the pressure on Venus contributes to its temperature, but ignoring the amount of CO2 in its atmosphere (not just concentration) is stupid. I'm not ignoring the CO2, it plays it's small role, clearly mars is proof positive you need a bit more than CO2 to raise temperature. Yeah, you need an atmosphere... Mars has an atmosphere its about 100 times thinner than Earths which is about 100 times thinner than Venus. Mercury's atmosphere is about a trillionth as dense as earth, doesn't mean it doesn't exist. Mars' atmosphere is much thinner than Earth's. *sighs* We're getting there...slowly..
Ragnarok.Nausi said: » Jassik said: » Ragnarok.Nausi said: » Cerberus.Pleebo said: » Give up on the Mars/Venus thing. They're not even comparable. Yes, the pressure on Venus contributes to its temperature, but ignoring the amount of CO2 in its atmosphere (not just concentration) is stupid. I'm not ignoring the CO2, it plays it's small role, clearly mars is proof positive you need a bit more than CO2 to raise temperature. Yeah, you need an atmosphere... Mars has an atmosphere its about 100 times thinner than Earths which is about 100 times thinner than Venus. Mercury's atmosphere is about a trillionth as dense as earth, doesn't mean it doesn't exist. It doesn't even have enough pressure to maintain liquids on its surface. One one-hundredth the density means about .147 psi. Or in layman's terms, basically none. Mars is also quite a bit smaller than earth or Venus, meaning the volume of its atmosphere is way way way less. You may as well be arguing that horsepower doesn't matter because a 3 horse go-kart is faster than a battleship. Ahh this was cute to watch people who don't understand physics try to use Venus as an example.
Psst, Venus's runaway temperatures isn't due to CO2 concentrations at all. If that's all the atmosphere had then it wouldn't be anywhere near it's current temperature. Sulfur dioxide is the real culprit. It's not a greenhouse gas, but it's presence in large quantities cause's rampant cloud formation such that it blocks out virtually all light, both up and down. The surface of Venus would be incredibly dark, a really deep twilight. The lower atmosphere is actually warmer then the planet surface as almost all light is absorbed before it hits the surface and thus never gets absorbed and re-emmited as IR radiation. The polar vortex's act like a giant turbo oven that circulates this ultra warm atmosphere across the planet in a way very similiar to our own, just at a much faster speed. Venus is heated from the top down (technically from the lower middle down) and not from the bottom up. Normally it would be very cold since such little light actually reach's the middle, but the small amount that does make it never leaves so it builds up, a little bit at a time, over millions of years until you get this dim yet ultra hot ball of acidic hell. The atmosphere isn't even a true gas but instead exists as a super-critical fluid. It's such a radically different model then our own that no direct comparisons can be made. Anyone attempting to use it as a "see CO2 is BAD!!!" just shows their own ignorance. Siren.Kyte said: » Ragnarok.Nausi said: » Valefor.Sehachan said: » I spoke not about pride. Nor did I dismiss the models could be wrong, ever. On the other side the certainty with which certain people are adamant that this is a worldwide scam is pure insanity. CO2 is a greenhouse gas. Period. Now, are the models correct? Are we reaching a critical point in 2030? 50? 70? I don't know, and I will give you that it's pure speculation that has to be constantly revisited considering the multitude of factors at play. Meanwhile, regardless of all that the only thing I have a firm stance on is that we have to stop using oil(progressively, not in one day). Stacking CO2 is like stacking double attack. At some point adding an extra percent is virtually meaningless in terms of DOT. Quite the opposite. As people like you love to point out when they want to support their case, the planet does have ways of counteracting increases in CO2. However, once you reach a certain threshold, some of those systems (such as the ocean) become saturated and you're kind of screwed. In the case of the ocean, there are also things that live in there that can be affected by even minor changes in pH that result from absorbing more acid. That's actually false. The Ocean's ability to absorb CO2 and thermal energy is 10,000 that of the atmosphere. It was another one of those theory's that was thrown onto the stack of "CO2 IS BAD SEE" without someone knowing the chemistry behind it. The Ocean can not "acidify" as long as there are deposits of calcium carbonate. The PH balance of various spots in the world is changing because our climate is constantly changing, especially as we finish a solar maxim. The Ocean can lag several decades to a full century behind the atmosphere due to it's raw mass. Any significant changes now would of been in response to things happening in the late 19th and early 20th century, not a few decades ago. And please get your orders of magnitude strait. The Ocean is working on two to three order of magnitudes larger then the atmosphere. Any condition that would of had a significant impact on the Ocean in our perception of time would of been so disruptive that it would of caused a mass extinction event. lol
Saevel said: a lot of stuff in various posts And now the insults and personal attacks begin.
Neither of those two posts is incorrect. The atmosphere greenhouse effect of Venus is a result of it's Sulfur dioxide concentration, likely caused by a meteor impact aeons ago. CO2 is transparent to incoming visible light and most IR light, it's only opaque on three select bands. There simply isn't' enough present energy on those bands to cause the temperature effect we observe, was a mystery to astrophysicists for a long *** time. Our sun would have to be much much hotter (hot enough for Earth to be uninhabitable) or Venus much closer for there to even be enough energy on the right bands for CO2 to contain. But if we factor in the sulfur dioxide, well that changes because SO2, while opaque to only a very small range of IR light, is opaque to most visible light and thus creating a radically different atmospheric interaction then Earths. Remember water vapor constitutes less then 1% of the upper atmosphere yet it completely dominates the greenhouse effect. The info about Ocean's tolerate for CO2 and heat is also correct and is based on sheer mass. The Ocean is huge, 70% of our planets surface along with being 1000x denser. H2O has much higher thermal capacity as Oxygen or Nitrogen. Combining those results in the Ocean and Atmosphere working on different orders of magnitude. To raise the Ocean's average temperature by a fraction of a degree you need to raise the atmospheres average temperate by several degree's, usually in the 4~5C+ range. And that's only counting the topmost 500m layer, deep ocean is virtually immune to atmospheric conditions in human perceivable time scales. Thus any condition that would acidify or heat the Ocean, in a human perceivable time scale, would have to be so disruptive to live on the surface that it constitutes a mass extinction event. Otherwise the change is happening very slowly, over centuries and thus giving most life a chance to slowly adapt. Asura.Saevel said: » And now the insults and personal attacks begin. Neither of those two posts is incorrect. The atmosphere greenhouse effect of Venus is a result of it's Sulfur dioxide concentration, likely caused by a meteor impact aeons ago. CO2 is transparent to incoming visible light and most IR light, it's only opaque on three select bands. There simply isn't' enough present energy on those bands to cause the temperature effect we observe, was a mystery to astrophysicists for a long *** time. Our sun would have to be much much hotter (hot enough for Earth to be uninhabitable) or Venus much closer for there to even be enough energy on the right bands for CO2 to contain. But if we factor in the sulfur dioxide, well that changes because SO2, while opaque to only a very small range of IR light, is opaque to most visible light and thus creating a radically different atmospheric interaction then Earths. Remember water vapor constitutes less then 1% of the upper atmosphere yet it completely dominates the greenhouse effect. The info about Ocean's tolerate for CO2 and heat is also correct and is based on sheer mass. The Ocean is huge, 70% of our planets surface along with being 1000x denser. H2O has much higher thermal capacity as Oxygen or Nitrogen. Combining those results in the Ocean and Atmosphere working on different orders of magnitude. To raise the Ocean's average temperature by a fraction of a degree you need to raise the atmospheres average temperate by several degree's, usually in the 4~5C+ range. And that's only counting the topmost 500m layer, deep ocean is virtually immune to atmospheric conditions in human perceivable time scales. Thus any condition that would acidify or heat the Ocean, in a human perceivable time scale, would have to be so disruptive to live on the surface that it constitutes a mass extinction event. Otherwise the change is happening very slowly, over centuries and thus giving most life a chance to slowly adapt. Yeah that's always been a favorite of mine "no dumping waste in the ocean, we'll ruin it" The ocean is enormous, it's pretty tough to realize the full scale of it all. Our contribution to it is pretty minuscule, just like the co2 we pump into the atmosphere. |
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