pchan said:
The max/min damage method is not reliable but math based on averaged value is statistically consistent.
I agree that the min/max method for small sample sizes doesn't work. However, problems (for this case) with the average method are:
1) Can't use samples from the first 25% (Formless Strikes for magic weakness), and possibly one of the other phases is weak to blunt (suddenly can't remember if that's the case on shark).
2) Any hits that occur when one of the luopans go down will skew the average.
3) Kicks skew the average (occasional sequences like 511[crit], 339, 66).
4) Any hits from before the cors renew rolls can't be compared against hits after they renew rolls, because total attack will almost certainly be different.
5) If brds don't get Soul Voice back during Wild Card, Minuet totals will also be different.
6) With Impetus up (which will be most, but not all the time), crit damage isn't something you can reliably compare against with such a small sample size.
7) Swapping into DT gear will remove str and att from the total, allowing damage to shift around a bit. I believe mined swapped out 14 str (Usu+1 head and Rajas).
Instead, I used a parse of a fight where things were going badly towards the end, and buffs were dropping, and examined that to get a selection where the 1.0 pDif spike was starting to become apparent.
The low samples, plus the blurring from times when DT gear was swapped in, make the results not quite exact, but the signature was pronounced enough that I'm comfortable with it as a rough estimate.
Of course, looking at it a bit more closely, I'd say the 184/185 values are with DT gear on, and 187/188 are with regular gear on (based on patterns of when each of those numbers tend to show up a lot), which would correlate with the 14 str difference in the gear sets.
Refining details:
Only two Minuets seem to be used, so 10 str there.
33 Str in gear with normal gear set
Total str: 141
Apparant fStr in normal gear set: -10
dStr for -10 fStr: -63 to -59
Vit range: 200 to 204
Can also correlate that with another mnk in the same party. His 1.0 appears at about d188. Unfortunately there are factors of his play style that I'm not completely sure of, so all I can note is that it's about the same as mine, lending credence to assumption that mine is valid.
For now, I'll revise it as estimated at a flat 200 vit.